Sunday, November 8, 2026
TGOs

The business of defense

Get the Weekly

Assessment · Budget

What does the FY2027 continuing resolution block for defense contractors?

New starts and faster production. For 101 unclassified lines mostly reconciliation-funded in FY2026 whose FY2027 base request tops their FY2026 base, that base is about a quarter of the request.

In this Assessment

The Continuing Appropriations Act, 2027, signed Sept. 2, funds the Department of War through Dec. 11 at the rates in its FY2026 appropriations acts.1 Its Sec. 102 bars the department from using that money to produce items not funded for production in FY2026 or earlier. It also bars production rates above "those sustained with fiscal year 2026 funds" and any project or budget line that had no funds available in FY2026. New multiyear procurements that use advance procurement for economic order quantity are barred "unless specifically appropriated later".1

The law continues 12 FY2026 appropriations acts, and the 2025 reconciliation law, P.L. 119-21, isn't among them.1–2 We found 101 unclassified budget lines that got most of their FY2026 money from that law and ask for more base money in FY2027 than they had in FY2026. Together they request $53.2 billion of FY2027 base money. Their FY2026 base, the starting point the continuing resolution (CR) carries forward, is $13.1 billion a year, about a quarter of their request.3

Reconciliation funding does not reset the CR's base rate

Sec. 101 names each law it continues. For procurement and R&D lines, that's the Department of Defense Appropriations Act, 2026.1 No section of the act mentions P.L. 119-21.2 Seamus P. Daniels, a fellow for Defense Budget Analysis at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, analyzed the bill on Aug. 18. He wrote that "the CR would only provide funding for programs that received discretionary appropriations for FY 2026".4

Sec. 102 defines the projects it covers down to "a P-1 line item" and "an R-1 line item" within an appropriation account.1 The distinction reaches individual programs. The department's FY2027 P-1 and R-1 exhibits list each line's FY2026 base appropriation and its FY2026 spend plan for P.L. 119-21 money side by side.3

Two sections exempt procurement accounts from Sec. 102.1 Sec. 126 allows up to $2.6 billion for cost increases on 20 shipbuilding programs "funded in prior years". The largest single amount is $566.5 million, for the 2021 Columbia-class program.1 The total equals the FY2027 request for the Navy's "Completion of PY Shipbuilding Programs" line.5 Sec. 127 allows up to $2.853 billion for National Security Systems in Procurement, Defense-Wide.1

For the 15 largest gaps, the FY2026 base is 18% of the FY2027 request

For the 15 largest gaps, the FY2026 base is 18% of the FY2027 request

FY2026 base appropriation, the starting point the CR carries forward (solid), against the FY2027 base request (hatched). The 15 lines with the largest difference among the 101 unclassified lines that got most of their FY2026 money from P.L. 119-21 and ask for more base money in FY2027. One scale.

FY2026 base (enacted)FY2027 base request
Virginia-class submarine procurement$3.25B of $8.40B · 39%
DDG-51 procurement$192M of $2.95B · 7%
F-15EX procurement$115M of $2.66B · 4%

F-15EX: 96% of its FY2026 money came from P.L. 119-21.

LPD Flight II procurement$93M of $2.19B · 4%
Advanced Innovative Technologies R&D$771M of $2.63B · 29%
TAO Fleet Oiler procurement$104M of $1.95B · 5%
Long Range Kill Chains R&D$0M of $1.39B · 0%
Space Situation Awareness Systems R&D$0M of $1.32B · 0%
Collaborative Combat Aircraft R&D$151M of $1.37B · 11%
Tomahawk procurement$7M of $1.02B · 1%
Defense Autonomous Warfare Group R&D$0M of $1.00B · 0%
Precision Strike Missile (PrSM) procurement$269M of $1.23B · 22%
Cyber Operations Technology Support R&D$473M of $1.30B · 36%
Counter-small UAS procurement$0M of $800M · 0%
Tomahawk Mods procurement$6M of $799M · 1%

Source: Department of War FY2027 P-1 and R-1 exhibits; P.L. 119-103. Base means discretionary appropriations. Data as of Oct 2026.

TGOs · tgos.io

F-15EX shows how the gap opens. The line's $1.8 billion in FY2025 came from base appropriations. For FY2026, base appropriations gave it $115 million, and the department's P.L. 119-21 spend plan put $2.8 billion on it.6 The 2025 law set aside $3.15 billion, available through FY2029, "to increase F-15EX aircraft production."7 Its FY2027 base request is $2.7 billion, so the FY2026 base is 4% of it.6

Of the 101 lines, 36 had no FY2026 base money at all, so they start FY2027 with no base rate.3 Golden Dome for America's Missile Defense Agency line is one: $3.6 billion from P.L. 119-21 in FY2026 and no base.8 "A CR doesn’t help me at Golden Dome because I don’t have a topline to fall back on," Gen. Michael Guetlein, who leads Golden Dome for America, said Aug. 11 at the Space and Missile Defense Symposium, as Payload reported.9

Take out shipbuilding and it's still about a quarter

Shipbuilding is the largest piece of the $40.1 billion gap between request and base, about a third. Without its 15 lines, 86 remain. They request $35.6 billion of base money and have an FY2026 base of $9.1 billion. That's 26%, about the same share as the full set. Without just the two largest gaps, Virginia-class submarines and DDG-51 destroyers, it's 23%.3

Weapons and drone lines start lower. For the 18 munitions and missile lines, the FY2026 base is 16% of the request. It's 7% for the 13 uncrewed and autonomy lines and zero for the two counter-small-drone lines.3

HII and General Dynamics carry the largest gaps, mostly on lines they share

We looked for the companies on the 57 lines with a gap of $100 million or more. They hold $38.4 billion of the $40.1 billion gap. We named at least one company on 22 of them. A line with more than one named company counts in full for each, so company totals overlap.10

HII and General Dynamics carry the largest gaps, mostly on lines they share

FY2027 base request minus FY2026 base, summed over the lines where each company is named, among the 57 lines with a gap of $100M or more in the 101 unclassified lines that got most of their FY2026 money from P.L. 119-21 and ask for more base money in FY2027. Every company named on $1B or more. A line with more than one named company counts in full for each, so totals overlap.

On lines shared with another named companyOn lines where it is the only company we named
HII$10.47B · 5 lines, 2 shared
General Dynamics$9.76B · 3 lines, 2 shared
Boeing$3.08B · 4 lines, 0 shared
RTX$2.17B · 3 lines, 0 shared
Lockheed Martin$1.89B · 3 lines, 0 shared
Anduril$1.75B · 2 lines, 2 shared
General Atomics$1.22B · 1 line, 1 shared

Source: Department of War FY2027 P-1 and R-1 exhibits; companies from Department of War, service and company announcements and program pages, linked in the table. Data as of Oct 2026.

TGOs · tgos.io

HII is named on lines with $10.5 billion of gap, General Dynamics on $9.8 billion.10–15 Virginia-class submarines and DDG-51 destroyers, which both companies build, are $7.9 billion of each.11–12 Outside shipbuilding, Boeing has the most at $3.1 billion, mostly F-15EX.10, 16 All of Anduril's $1.7 billion is on two lines it shares: Collaborative Combat Aircraft with General Atomics, and the Family of Affordable Mass Missiles with CoAspire and Zone 5.17–18

Thirteen of the 57 lines fund government offices, funds and test programs, with no contractor named. They hold $7.1 billion of gap and include the Defense Autonomous Warfare Group, the Defense Innovation Unit and Office of Strategic Capital loans.19

Unobligated reconciliation money stays available through FY2029

The CR doesn't write line amounts. The Congressional Research Service describes a rate for operations set "without specifying a dollar amount for individual programs, projects, and activities".20 Our line totals are each line's FY2026 base, the starting point the CR carries forward.3

Sec. 102's limits apply to the money the CR provides.1 P.L. 119-21 appropriated its defense money "to remain available until September 30, 2029".7 So a line still holding some can still obligate it. We found no line-by-line figure for how much is unobligated.

December brings another funding decision

Sec. 106 ends the CR on Dec. 11, 2026, or sooner, for a project, once its full-year FY2027 act is enacted. A full-year defense act would replace the FY2026 base rate for these lines.1 The department's FY2027 request also seeks $350.0 billion in mandatory money, which the administration asked Congress to provide through reconciliation.4, 21 Nineteen of these lines carry $162.7 billion of it.3 By Dec. 11, the FY2026 base rate for these lines either ends or gets extended.

The 57 lines with a gap of $100 million or more

LineFY2026 baseFY2027 base requestBase as share of requestNamed companies
Virginia-class submarineP-1 1611N line 6 · 2013$3.25B$8.40B39%General Dynamics, HII
DDG-51P-1 1611N line 13 · 2122$192M$2.95B7%General Dynamics, HII
F-15EXP-1 3010F line 7 · F015EX · Combat aircraft$115M$2.66B4%Boeing
LPD Flight IIP-1 1611N line 18 · 3010 · Amphibious ships$93M$2.19B4%HII
Advanced Innovative TechnologiesR-1 0400D line 109 · 0604250D8Z$771M$2.63B29%Government office, fund or test program
TAO Fleet OilerP-1 1611N line 28 · 5025$104M$1.95B5%General Dynamics
Long Range Kill ChainsR-1 3620F line 54 · 1203154SF$0M$1.39B0%Not named
Space Situation Awareness SystemsR-1 3620F line 27 · 1206425SF$0M$1.32B0%Not confirmed
Collaborative Combat AircraftR-1 3600F line 67 · 0207147F · Advanced component development and prototypes$151M$1.37B11%Anduril, General Atomics
TomahawkP-1 1507N line 4 · 2101$7M$1.02B1%RTX
Defense Autonomous Warfare GroupR-1 0400D line 115 · 0604539D8Z$0M$1.00B0%Government office, fund or test program
Precision Strike Missile (PrSM)P-1 2032A line 5 · 8540C29600$269M$1.23B22%Lockheed Martin
Cyber Operations Technology SupportR-1 0400D line 293 · 0306250JCY$473M$1.30B36%Government office, fund or test program
Counter-small UASP-1 0300D line 25 · 30$0M$800M0%Several, not named
Tomahawk ModsP-1 1507N line 22 · 2301$6M$799M1%RTX
Networked Communications CapabilitiesR-1 0400D line 60 · 0603662D8Z$20M$696M3%Not named
Joint Air-Surface Standoff MissileP-1 3020F line 12 · JASSM0$328M$968M34%Lockheed Martin
Spares and Repair PartsP-1 1810N line 144 · 9020$159M$766M21%Several, not named
Ballistic Missile Defense TestR-1 0400D line 97 · 0603914C$459M$1.07B43%Government office, fund or test program
Counter - Small Unmanned Aircraft Systems (JIATF-401)R-1 0400D line 162 · 0205401JCA$0M$580M0%Government office, fund or test program
MK-48 TorpedoP-1 1507N line 31 · 3117$5M$571M1%Not confirmed
Family of Affordable Mass Missiles (FAMM)R-1 3600F line 47 · 0604041F$0M$525M0%Anduril, CoAspire, Zone 5 Technologies
Strategic SealiftP-1 1611N line 35 · 5104$0M$450M0%Not yet awarded
Joint Strike MissileP-1 3020F line 14 · JSM000$0M$385M0%Kongsberg
Defense Innovation Unit (DIU)R-1 0400D line 52 · 0603342D8Z$140M$523M27%Government office, fund or test program
Industrial Base Analysis and Sustainment SupportR-1 0400D line 233 · 0607210D8Z$802M$1.18B68%Government office, fund or test program
Compass CallP-1 3010F line 53 · CALL00$134M$506M27%BAE Systems, L3Harris
Standard MissileP-1 1507N line 8 · 2234$362M$733M49%RTX
Golden Dome for America (MDA)R-1 3007D line 9 · 0604139D8Z$0M$367M0%Government office, fund or test program
Joint Hypersonic Technology Development &TransitionR-1 0400D line 44 · 0603183D8Z$60M$424M14%Not confirmed
Production Base Support (OTH)P-1 2035A line 122 · 1220MA0450$0M$362M0%Government office, fund or test program
LPD Flight IIP-1 1611N line 19 · 3010 · Amphibious ships$0M$356M0%HII
Ship Concept Advanced DesignR-1 1319N line 44 · 0603563N$5M$354M1%Not confirmed
Hypersonics PrototypingR-1 3600F line 46 · 0604033F$0M$346M0%Not confirmed
Joint Fires Network (JFN)R-1 3600F line 116 · 0305282F$0M$314M0%Not confirmed
Precision Strike Missile (PrSM)R-1 2040A line 152 · 0605231A$0M$288M0%Lockheed Martin
OUSD(C) IT Development InitiativesR-1 0400D line 153 · 0605027D8Z$10M$273M4%Government office, fund or test program
B-21 RaiderP-1 3010F line 1 · B02100$1.97B$2.23B88%Northrop Grumman
Maritime MinesP-1 1507N line 35 · 3231$0M$252M0%Not confirmed
Unmanned Surface Vehicle Enabling CapabilitiesR-1 1319N line 97 · 0605513N$24M$255M9%Several, not named
Maritime SystemsR-1 0400D line 309 · 1160483BB$126M$352M36%Not confirmed
F-15EXP-1 3010F line 32 · F015EX · Modification of inservice aircraft$0M$214M0%Boeing
Collaborative Combat AircraftR-1 1319N line 102 · 0207147M · Advanced component development and prototypes$5M$214M2%Not confirmed
MH-139AP-1 3010F line 14 · H0106O$67M$253M27%Boeing
Expeditionary Loitering MunitionsP-1 1508N line 16 · 1776$0M$166M0%Not confirmed
Defense Innovation Unit FieldingR-1 0400D line 316 · 0608776D8Z$270M$434M62%Government office, fund or test program
Mine DevelopmentR-1 1319N line 144 · 0604601N$0M$159M0%Not confirmed
Defense Production Act PurchasesP-1 0360D line 1 · TITLE3$322M$477M67%Government office, fund or test program
Ship Self Defense (Engage: Hard Kill)R-1 1319N line 151 · 0604756N$145M$296M49%Several, not named
Extra Large UUVP-1 1810N line 36 · 1613$0M$136M0%Boeing
Ballistic Missile Early Warning System (BMEWS)R-1 3620F line 65 · 1203909SF$0M$129M0%Not named
KC-135sR-1 3600F line 279 · 0401218F$0M$122M0%Several, not named
Medium Unmanned Surface Vehicle (MUSVs)P-1 1810N line 27 · 0954$0M$121M0%Several, not named
Office of Strategic Capital Loan ProgramP-1 0362D line 1 · OSCLOANS$98M$216M45%Government office, fund or test program
Ground Based Strategic DeterrentP-1 3020F line 3 · MGBSD0$0M$108M0%Northrop Grumman
Small & Medium UUVP-1 1810N line 34 · 1611$7M$111M6%HII
Advanced Undersea PrototypingR-1 1319N line 90 · 0604536N$60M$165M37%Not named

How we measured

Our budget desk read every P-1 (procurement) and R-1 (research and development) line in the Department of War's FY2027 budget exhibits, which list FY2025 actuals, the FY2026 base appropriation, the FY2026 spend plan for P.L. 119-21 money and the FY2027 request side by side. The set is every line whose FY2026 P.L. 119-21 spend plan is larger than its FY2026 base appropriation and whose FY2027 base request is larger than its FY2026 base: 103 lines, 101 of them unclassified. Another 51 unclassified lines got most of their FY2026 money from P.L. 119-21 but ask for no more base money in FY2027, 42 of them for none; they're outside the set. The two classified lines that meet the rule carry $14.9 billion of gap; with them the share is 22%. "Base" means discretionary appropriations; the gap is the FY2027 base request minus the FY2026 base. Markets follow our budget desk's map of every line to one capability market. A company is named on a line only where a primary source, a Department of War or service announcement, a company release or a program page, names it as prime contractor, production awardee or building yard for that line's program, and names every such company. A line whose link to a company we couldn't confirm that way is left unattributed and shows as not confirmed in the table, which links each attribution's source. The company chart shows every company named on lines with $1 billion or more of combined gap.

Sources (21)
  1. Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027, P.L. 119-103 (enrolled text, govinfo)
  2. Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2027 (P.L. 119-103), full text: no mention of P.L. 119-21
  3. TGOs analysis of the FY2027 budget request and P.L. 119-21
  4. CSIS, Seamus P. Daniels (fellow for Defense Budget Analysis), Aug. 18, 2026
  5. Department of War, FY2027 P-1 exhibit, Completion of PY Shipbuilding Programs: FY2027 request $2,611.99M
  6. Department of War, FY2027 P-1 exhibit, F-15EX (Aircraft Procurement, Air Force): FY2025 actuals $1,808.5M; FY2026 base $115.0M; FY2026 P.L. 119-21 spend plan $2,806.8M; FY2027 base request $2,656.7M
  7. P.L. 119-21 (2025 reconciliation law), title II, Committee on Armed Services (govinfo)
  8. Department of War, FY2027 R-1 exhibit, Golden Dome for America - MDA: FY2026 base $0; FY2026 P.L. 119-21 spend plan $3,603.1M; FY2027 base request $367.0M
  9. Payload (Jacqueline Feldscher), Aug. 11, 2026: Gen. Michael Guetlein at the Space and Missile Defense Symposium
  10. TGOs analysis of the FY2027 budget request and P.L. 119-21; companies from the primary sources linked in the table
  11. HII release, July 29, 2026
  12. U.S. Navy release, Aug. 1, 2023
  13. HII release, Sept. 24, 2024
  14. General Dynamics release, May 23, 2023
  15. Department of War, contracts for Sept. 28, 2026
  16. Boeing, Sept. 29, 2026
  17. Department of War release
  18. U.S. Air Force release
  19. TGOs analysis of the FY2027 budget request
  20. Congressional Research Service, R49353, Sept. 17, 2026
  21. Department of War, FY2027 Mandatory Budget Overview, April 2026

Take the chart with you

Follow the reporting